Worrying about South Korea’s burden and wishing for Kim Jong Il regime to last for long is a selfish thought of those who have not suffered. This is also a “scaring theory,” that politicians favor to use in order to put up a political show and earn more votes.
There is no one who thinks Kim Jong Il regime will be able to last that much longer if it continues to refuse opening up. Kim Jong Il regime is to be collapse in a the recent future and if confusion is inevitable in the process, then the most realistically correct to way to deal with it would be to come up with a counterplan of how we can reduce this confusion as soon as possible.
There are many people who believe that North Korea’s liberalization would follow the same footsteps as China. They are the ones who believe Kim Jong Il can become North Korean version of Deng Xiaoping
They say such a thing because they do not understand the real difference between North Korea and China. Deng Xiaoping and Kim Jong Il are in totally different situation, each with very different life and personality. Deng Xiaoping was heavily persecuted by Mao Tse Tung, obtained the political power after going through a process of changes called, ‘knocking down with gang of four’ and was able to win the great Chinese communist unity and hearts of the Chinese people based on his “fighting through” personal history and charisma which includes his role in the Revolution against Japan.
On the other hand, Kim Jong Il inherited the regime through his loyalty towards his father. He does not have any outstanding personal history, he is responsible for collapse of North Korea, the one who caused millions of death from starvation, and he is the one who hid the reality of North Korea with the deeply enrooted idolization and the cruel military dictatorship.
Kim Jong Il Lost All His Vision, Morality, and Motivation for the Liberalization
For Kim Jong Il, the attempt for liberalization like Deng Xiaoping is not easy. Even if he does, it will lead into a mass confusion at one point where the number of the North Korean people escaping from the Kim Jong Il regime will increase. Although the crisis of the Kim Jong Il regime is due to the pressure from outside, including that of the US and Japan, recently it is being strengthened by the internal factors such as the increasing anti-regime sentiment and weakening of the unity of the Kim Jong Il followers.
Hundreds of Thousands starved to death, died of illness, and executed. Those alive were forced to leave their homeland and become beggars in foreign countries. Living through the time of death North Korean people are now learning more about their “rights.” Since the nation is full of fraud and falsity, any truth will catalyze people’s grievance.
The range of economics Kim Jong Il regime can manage is completely destroyed, and corruption and culture of bribery had spread throughout the North Korean system. Once the contradicting social elements inside North Korea reaches a certain point, people’s hearts will move starting from the intelligent group who receive relatively much more information than the common people. The Kim Jong Il regime will soon face a chaos. Depending on the relationship between “the Kim Jong Il regime’s ability to respond to chaos,” “anti-regime force’s ability to fight,” and “ability to respond of the international society,” Kim Jong Il’s time for life endurance can change. However, unless the government of South Korea does not hand over a huge amount of cash, Kim Jong Il’s life cannot be better than that of a patient waiting for his life to end.
The Government of South Korea Must Prepare Strategically and Technically for the Imminent Collapse of the Kim Jong Il Regime
▲Presently, there is a need to adequately manage the Kim Jong Il regime, but cash or military supply that can directly strengthen the regime must be strictly prohibited.
▲Provide incentives to Kim Jong Il’s liberalization policy but North Korea’s military-first politics must be penalized.
▲Those who oppose to the UN’s resolution on the North Korean human rights as well as a North Korean human rights bill currently being processed in the Japanese government must be changed and become supportive of North Korean human rights.
▲Minimize divisions in the government and become psychologically ready about the security and strengthen military technology in order to increase North Korea’s military spending. At the same time, strengthen US-Korea alliance in order to prevent the possibility of war.
▲Keep to the principles while assisting North Korea, say what needs to be said and demand what needs to be demanded without fear. Emphasize that it is the Kim Jong Il regime that will lose from refusing to negotiate or talk, not South Korea.
▲In preparation for the sudden collapse of the Kim Jong Il regime, build refugee asylums in South Korea, China, and Japan. Furthermore, there must be a preparation to deal with the crisis inside North Korea as well as to reduce the time period of the crisis. We must also work to build South Korean troop’s citizen strategy ability and prepare to work diplomatically and militarily with the international military assistance such as the UN troops.
If South Korea is to have this kind of policies, anti-Kim Jong Il regime movement insider North Korea will feel encouraged and strengthened while it will become a most definitive negative influence on the Kim Jong Il regime and the supporters of Kim Jong Il will fall into an agony to choose which side to take. Studying all and every contradiction in the world, there would not be easier case as North Korea in terms of finding a solution.
If the government of South Korea holds on to the common sense that “owners of the nation is its people,” the it will be able to find a solution right away. Furthermore, it will not be able to deny the fact that Kim Jong Il does not have the key to the struggle of “life or death,” but the South Korean government.
