[imText1]It appears that the international community will pressure and enforce sanctions on North Korea. First, it is likely that the Security Council will not use armed forces under Chapter VII of the U.N. Charter Article 41.
The resolution will request that the reinforcement of these events are ceased and a return to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. As Chapter VII of the U.N. Charter Article 41 states ‘complete or partial interruption of economic relations and of rail, sea, air, postal, telegraphic, radio, and other means of communication, and the severance of diplomatic relations.’ However, the problem is that it is not first priority nor the contents of the international community sanctions. This is a change that is to be brought by North Korea.
At present, North Korea’s insufficient food rations and energy, as well as its daily necessities are being supplied largely by China. Further, South Korea provided the funds for the Kim Jong Il regime through economic negotiations with Mt. Geumgang Tourism and Kaesung Industrial Complex. It is likely that both China and South Korea in which the Kim Jong Il regime feels betrayed, will join the North Korea sanctions. In that case, China’s aid to North Korea will most likely encounter an atrophic effect.
Also, economic negotiations with South Korea will either be ceased or drastically reduced. This will be the destruction of the Kim Jong Il regime’s foreign foundations. As means to survival within the country is on the verge of collapse, the Kim Jong Il regime which has relied on foreign aid will undoubtedly reach a new and difficult height if China and South Korea does join the North Korea sanctions.
Further, by conducting nuclear tests the Kim Jong Il regime has disengaged itself from the protective shield of China and hands of Korea. One can question whether or not the Kim Jong Il regime has forfeited the power to sustain its position and the North Korean community that has until now been effectively guarded from the pressures and sanctions of the international community.
We must now wait and see how the international community will respond to this situation and observe which cards the Kim Jong Il regime will use to counteract the pressures and sanctions.
Under the surface it has been deliberated that this power battle between the Kim Jong Il regime and the international community will only elevate the collapse of the Kim Jong Il regime and further that ‘A crisis management system’ must be constructed in ‘preparations for a sudden change in the Korean Peninsula.’
Will the nuclear tests by the Kim Jong Il regime be the pinnicale for the international community to force the regime to surrender? Or will we see an effect where the Kim Jong Il regime explodes like a balloon while incurring pressures and sanctions from the international community. By all means, the former will be more likely.
