[imText1]A Hong Kong press recently reported that Kim Jong Il\u2019s successor will be decided sometime this month and proposed that even if a third generation North Korea dictator is determined by descent, he would be no more than an ostensible military leader.\u201d <\/p>\n
Ken Gause, Director of the Foreign Leadership Studies Program of the Center for Strategic Studies, CNA Corporation in the U.S. revealed in an interview with Radio Free Asia (RFA) on the 10th \u201cWhen considering the reparations required for the coronation of a successor, the list of nominations for Kim Jong Il\u2019s successor is relatively slow.<\/p>\n
It has been analyzed that the position of successor will be disputed by Kim Jong Il\u2019s three sons, his first son by former Seong Hye Rim, Jong Nam (35 years old), his second son with former Koh Young Hee, Jong Chul (25 years old) and third son Jong Woon (22 years old).<\/p>\n
Director Gause said \u201cDictator Kim Jong Il is now 65 years of age, his kidneys and livers are not good, he has diabetes, high blood pressure. His health is so bad, it seems that it will be difficult for him to pass the age of 70\u201d and \u201cIt is a critical time for a successor to be selected.\u201d<\/p>\n
\u201cIn this case, there is more or less 5 years left for Kim to relinquish his sovereignty to his successor\u201d indicating that \u201c(Even if a successor is elected immediately) The time is too short for a leader to become powerful enough to control a system without the aid of military officials.\u201d<\/p>\n
Director Gause added \u201cIf the younger sons Kim Jong Chul or Kim Jong Woon become the next successor, it is uncertain whether or not the time remaining will be enough for them to be educated as a leader and for a swift succession.\u201d<\/p>\n
Furthermore, Gause argued that it will be certain for Kim Jong Il\u2019s successor to be merely an ostensible military leader. <\/p>\n
He said \u201cCompared to Kim Il Sung, Kim Jong Il does not seem to possess absolute power like his father\u201d and \u201cIf a successor does arise from one of Kim Jong Il\u2019s sons, his position will merely be a title with little chances of a militaristic leader.\u201d<\/p>\n
However he said \u201cIn the case Kim Jong Il suddenly dies without having nominated a successor, the worst case scenario may occur with North Korea detonating its nuclear armaments for a world war\u201d and \u201cNorth Korea\u2019s advisory committee will divide into different forces and all will focus on gaining power.\u201d<\/p>\n
He foretold \u201cIn this case, North Korea will only become isolated from the world and a complicated system further away from the international community.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
[imText1]A Hong Kong press recently reported that Kim Jong Il\u2019s successor will be decided sometime this month and proposed that even if a third generation North Korea dictator is determined by descent, he would be no more than an ostensible military leader.\u201d Ken Gause, Director of the Foreign Leadership Studies Program of the Center for […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":167,"featured_media":2981,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"wikipediapreview_detectlinks":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[67],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2979","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\n